Spencer Stastney

Defenceshoots L·EDM
Drafted 2018 · #131 NSH26 yrs183cm · 83kg
NHL points4 seasons
10
NHL high
117
NHL GP
5
leagues
Contract
$1.525Mcap hit· through 2026-27 (1 year left)
UFA in 2027

Development comparables

Every league season translated to a common NHL-equivalent scale and indexed by age. These players’ development paths most resemble Spencer’s across the whole pyramid, not just the NHL.

Curve = best season per age on the NHLe scale (blue = Spencer). Match = inverse distance between overlapping age curves.

Projection · modelnhle-baseline-v1
NHLe ⓘ
20.9
proj. NHL points / 82
range 13.6 to 28.2 · translated from AHL 2024-25

NHLe is a population-level translation, not a forecast; elite outliers exceed it. Factors are published, cited and tunable.

SAT% and shot share · 5v5

2025-26 · 66 GP · 13.6 min/gp
SAT%
51.3%
shot attempts
SAT% adjusted
50.8%
zone starts out
USAT%
51.3%
unblocked
PDO
97.9
100 = neutral
O-zone starts
49.9%
of zone faceoffs

Measured by joining the NHL’s official shift charts to its play-by-play. These describe play while he was on the ice, not his individual skill. All five skaters are credited with the same shot attempt, so a depth player on a team that controls the puck will post strong numbers. Adjusted SAT% drops the ten seconds after every faceoff, so a player handed the offensive zone gets no credit for territory he did not earn. How these are calculated.

Shooting · expected goals

2025-26 · 81 shots
Goals
2
actual
Expected
2.4
sum of chances
Vs expected
-0.4
finishing
Chance quality
0.029
xG per shot
Loading shots…

A model (xg-hgb-iso-v1), not a measurement. Every unblocked shot is scored on where it came from, what type it was and what happened just before it. The model does NOT know who took it, which is the point: the gap between goals and expected goals is what the shooter added beyond the chance itself. Empty-net and blocked attempts are excluded. How this is built.

With or without you (WOWY)

most 5v5 ice together
LinemateMinSAT% withSAT% without
Ty Emberson22549.2%51.9%(1223)
Justin Barron20753.6%50.6%(1244)
Jack Roslovic15452.3%51.0%(1344)
Trent Frederic14644.6%52.5%(1361)
Matt Savoie14447.0%52.2%(1321)

Shot share at 5v5 with each linemate, and away from him. The number in brackets is how many attempts the apart figure rests on. Top duos are rarely split up, so that half is often the thin one. Read it as a hint, not a verdict.

Career pyramid

15 stops · tap to expand