Matthew Schaefer

Defenceshoots L·NYI
Drafted 2025 · #1 NYI19 yrs188cm · 84kg
OHL points2 seasons
22
OHL high
82
NHL GP
3
leagues
Contract
$0.986Mcap hit· through 2027-28 (2 years left)
RFA in 2028

SAT% and shot share · 5v5

2025-26 · 82 GP · 18.3 min/gp
SAT%
49.9%
shot attempts
SAT% adjusted
49.1%
zone starts out
USAT%
50.1%
unblocked
PDO
99.6
100 = neutral
O-zone starts
52.4%
of zone faceoffs

Measured by joining the NHL’s official shift charts to its play-by-play. These describe play while he was on the ice, not his individual skill. All five skaters are credited with the same shot attempt, so a depth player on a team that controls the puck will post strong numbers. Adjusted SAT% drops the ten seconds after every faceoff, so a player handed the offensive zone gets no credit for territory he did not earn. How these are calculated.

Shooting · expected goals

2025-26 · 304 shots
Goals
23
actual
Expected
15.0
sum of chances
Vs expected
+8.0
finishing
Chance quality
0.049
xG per shot
Loading shots…

A model (xg-hgb-iso-v1), not a measurement. Every unblocked shot is scored on where it came from, what type it was and what happened just before it. The model does NOT know who took it, which is the point: the gap between goals and expected goals is what the shooter added beyond the chance itself. Empty-net and blocked attempts are excluded. How this is built.

With or without you (WOWY)

most 5v5 ice together
LinemateMinSAT% withSAT% without
Ryan Pulock82646.2%54.7%(1299)
Mathew Barzal53251.3%49.0%(1894)
Emil Heineman45650.0%49.8%(2066)
Anders Lee44451.7%49.0%(2049)
Bo Horvat40852.8%48.7%(2128)

Shot share at 5v5 with each linemate, and away from him. The number in brackets is how many attempts the apart figure rests on. Top duos are rarely split up, so that half is often the thin one. Read it as a hint, not a verdict.

Career pyramid

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