Matt Savoie

Centreshoots R·EDM
Drafted 2022 · #9 BUF22 yrs178cm · 81kg
NHL points3 seasons
37
NHL high
87
NHL GP
5
leagues
Contract
$0.887Mcap hit· through 2026-27 (1 year left)
RFA in 2027

Development comparables

Every league season translated to a common NHL-equivalent scale and indexed by age. These players’ development paths most resemble Matt’s across the whole pyramid, not just the NHL.

Curve = best season per age on the NHLe scale (blue = Matt). Match = inverse distance between overlapping age curves.

Projection · modelnhle-baseline-v1
NHLe ⓘ
31.9
proj. NHL points / 82
range 20.7 to 43.1 · translated from AHL 2025-26

NHLe is a population-level translation, not a forecast; elite outliers exceed it. Factors are published, cited and tunable.

SAT% and shot share · 5v5

2025-26 · 82 GP · 12.1 min/gp
SAT%
49.9%
shot attempts
SAT% adjusted
49.2%
zone starts out
USAT%
50.7%
unblocked
PDO
99.4
100 = neutral
O-zone starts
59.6%
of zone faceoffs

Measured by joining the NHL’s official shift charts to its play-by-play. These describe play while he was on the ice, not his individual skill. All five skaters are credited with the same shot attempt, so a depth player on a team that controls the puck will post strong numbers. Adjusted SAT% drops the ten seconds after every faceoff, so a player handed the offensive zone gets no credit for territory he did not earn. How these are calculated.

Shooting · expected goals

2025-26 · 202 shots
Goals
17
actual
Expected
17.8
sum of chances
Vs expected
-0.8
finishing
Chance quality
0.088
xG per shot
Loading shots…

A model (xg-hgb-iso-v1), not a measurement. Every unblocked shot is scored on where it came from, what type it was and what happened just before it. The model does NOT know who took it, which is the point: the gap between goals and expected goals is what the shooter added beyond the chance itself. Empty-net and blocked attempts are excluded. How this is built.

With or without you (WOWY)

most 5v5 ice together
LinemateMinSAT% withSAT% without
Evan Bouchard38852.7%48.1%(1154)
Mattias Ekholm38255.7%46.3%(1175)
Darnell Nurse34450.0%49.8%(1222)
Connor McDavid33653.2%48.2%(1255)
Jack Roslovic28653.8%48.1%(1302)

Shot share at 5v5 with each linemate, and away from him. The number in brackets is how many attempts the apart figure rests on. Top duos are rarely split up, so that half is often the thin one. Read it as a hint, not a verdict.

Career pyramid

12 stops · tap to expand