Macklin Celebrini

Centreshoots L·SJS
Drafted 2024 · #1 SJS20 yrs183cm · 86kg
NHL points2 seasons
115
NHL high
152
NHL GP
5
leagues
Contract
$0.975Mcap hit· through 2026-27 (1 year left)
RFA in 2027
Extension signed: $18.8M through 2031-32

Development comparables

Every league season translated to a common NHL-equivalent scale and indexed by age. These players’ development paths most resemble Macklin’s across the whole pyramid, not just the NHL.

Curve = best season per age on the NHLe scale (blue = Macklin). Match = inverse distance between overlapping age curves.

SAT% and shot share · 5v5

2025-26 · 82 GP · 16 min/gp
SAT%
48.2%
shot attempts
SAT% adjusted
47.4%
zone starts out
USAT%
47.6%
unblocked
PDO
97.4
100 = neutral
O-zone starts
59.3%
of zone faceoffs

Measured by joining the NHL’s official shift charts to its play-by-play. These describe play while he was on the ice, not his individual skill. All five skaters are credited with the same shot attempt, so a depth player on a team that controls the puck will post strong numbers. Adjusted SAT% drops the ten seconds after every faceoff, so a player handed the offensive zone gets no credit for territory he did not earn. How these are calculated.

Shooting · expected goals

2025-26 · 405 shots
Goals
40
actual
Expected
31.2
sum of chances
Vs expected
+8.8
finishing
Chance quality
0.077
xG per shot
Loading shots…

A model (xg-hgb-iso-v1), not a measurement. Every unblocked shot is scored on where it came from, what type it was and what happened just before it. The model does NOT know who took it, which is the point: the gap between goals and expected goals is what the shooter added beyond the chance itself. Empty-net and blocked attempts are excluded. How this is built.

With or without you (WOWY)

most 5v5 ice together
LinemateMinSAT% withSAT% without
Will Smith85148.5%47.7%(799)
Dmitry Orlov56753.8%43.7%(1329)
John Klingberg41651.1%46.8%(1601)
Collin Graf40446.5%49.0%(1670)
Mario Ferraro39344.4%49.9%(1693)

Shot share at 5v5 with each linemate, and away from him. The number in brackets is how many attempts the apart figure rests on. Top duos are rarely split up, so that half is often the thin one. Read it as a hint, not a verdict.

Career pyramid

6 stops · tap to expand