Justin Sourdif

Centreshoots R·WSH
Drafted 2020 · #87 FLA24 yrs183cm · 88kg
NHL points3 seasons
35
NHL high
82
NHL GP
3
leagues
Contract
$0.825Mcap hit· through 2026-27 (1 year left)
RFA in 2027

Development comparables

Every league season translated to a common NHL-equivalent scale and indexed by age. These players’ development paths most resemble Justin’s across the whole pyramid, not just the NHL.

Curve = best season per age on the NHLe scale (blue = Justin). Match = inverse distance between overlapping age curves.

SAT% and shot share · 5v5

2025-26 · 78 GP · 13 min/gp
SAT%
50.2%
shot attempts
SAT% adjusted
51.5%
zone starts out
USAT%
50.6%
unblocked
PDO
101
100 = neutral
O-zone starts
38.6%
of zone faceoffs

Measured by joining the NHL’s official shift charts to its play-by-play. These describe play while he was on the ice, not his individual skill. All five skaters are credited with the same shot attempt, so a depth player on a team that controls the puck will post strong numbers. Adjusted SAT% drops the ten seconds after every faceoff, so a player handed the offensive zone gets no credit for territory he did not earn. How these are calculated.

Shooting · expected goals

2025-26 · 174 shots
Goals
14
actual
Expected
14.0
sum of chances
Vs expected
0.0
finishing
Chance quality
0.080
xG per shot
Loading shots…

A model (xg-hgb-iso-v1), not a measurement. Every unblocked shot is scored on where it came from, what type it was and what happened just before it. The model does NOT know who took it, which is the point: the gap between goals and expected goals is what the shooter added beyond the chance itself. Empty-net and blocked attempts are excluded. How this is built.

With or without you (WOWY)

most 5v5 ice together
LinemateMinSAT% withSAT% without
Matt Roy37349.4%50.7%(1205)
Jakob Chychrun35851.5%49.5%(1206)
Aliaksei Protas35455.3%47.3%(1204)
Martin Fehérváry33648.5%51.1%(1284)
Tom Wilson32054.1%48.4%(1287)

Shot share at 5v5 with each linemate, and away from him. The number in brackets is how many attempts the apart figure rests on. Top duos are rarely split up, so that half is often the thin one. Read it as a hint, not a verdict.

Career pyramid

11 stops · tap to expand