Curtis Lazar

Centreshoots R·EDM
Drafted 2013 · #17 OTT31 yrs183cm · 92kg
NHL points12 seasons
25
NHL high
617
NHL GP
4
leagues

Development comparables

Every league season translated to a common NHL-equivalent scale and indexed by age. These players’ development paths most resemble Curtis’s across the whole pyramid, not just the NHL.

Curve = best season per age on the NHLe scale (blue = Curtis). Match = inverse distance between overlapping age curves.

Projection · modelnhle-baseline-v1
NHLe ⓘ
24.8
proj. NHL points / 82
range 16.1 to 33.5 · translated from AHL 2019-20

NHLe is a population-level translation, not a forecast; elite outliers exceed it. Factors are published, cited and tunable.

SAT% and shot share · 5v5

2025-26 · 45 GP · 8.3 min/gp
SAT%
46.5%
shot attempts
SAT% adjusted
46.4%
zone starts out
USAT%
46.4%
unblocked
PDO
103.5
100 = neutral
O-zone starts
32.4%
of zone faceoffs

Measured by joining the NHL’s official shift charts to its play-by-play. These describe play while he was on the ice, not his individual skill. All five skaters are credited with the same shot attempt, so a depth player on a team that controls the puck will post strong numbers. Adjusted SAT% drops the ten seconds after every faceoff, so a player handed the offensive zone gets no credit for territory he did not earn. How these are calculated.

Shooting · expected goals

2025-26 · 50 shots
Goals
4
actual
Expected
4.4
sum of chances
Vs expected
-0.4
finishing
Chance quality
0.088
xG per shot
Loading shots…

A model (xg-hgb-iso-v1), not a measurement. Every unblocked shot is scored on where it came from, what type it was and what happened just before it. The model does NOT know who took it, which is the point: the gap between goals and expected goals is what the shooter added beyond the chance itself. Empty-net and blocked attempts are excluded. How this is built.

With or without you (WOWY)

most 5v5 ice together
LinemateMinSAT% withSAT% without
Ty Emberson16543.8%48.4%(384)
Mattias Janmark14451.0%43.8%(416)
Darnell Nurse13945.7%46.9%(407)
Trent Frederic12549.8%44.6%(428)
Adam Henrique9846.8%46.3%(492)

Shot share at 5v5 with each linemate, and away from him. The number in brackets is how many attempts the apart figure rests on. Top duos are rarely split up, so that half is often the thin one. Read it as a hint, not a verdict.

Career pyramid

21 stops · tap to expand