Brandon Carlo
Development comparables
NHL-equivalent points / 82, by ageEvery league season translated to a common NHL-equivalent scale and indexed by age. These players’ development paths most resemble Brandon’s across the whole pyramid, not just the NHL.
Curve = best season per age on the NHLe scale (blue = Brandon). Match = inverse distance between overlapping age curves.
NHLe is a population-level translation, not a forecast; elite outliers exceed it. Factors are published, cited and tunable.
SAT% and shot share · 5v5
2025-26 · 55 GP · 16 min/gpMeasured by joining the NHL’s official shift charts to its play-by-play. These describe play while he was on the ice, not his individual skill. All five skaters are credited with the same shot attempt, so a depth player on a team that controls the puck will post strong numbers. Adjusted SAT% drops the ten seconds after every faceoff, so a player handed the offensive zone gets no credit for territory he did not earn. How these are calculated.
Shooting · expected goals
2025-26 · 93 shotsA model (xg-hgb-iso-v1), not a measurement. Every unblocked shot is scored on where it came from, what type it was and what happened just before it. The model does NOT know who took it, which is the point: the gap between goals and expected goals is what the shooter added beyond the chance itself. Empty-net and blocked attempts are excluded. How this is built.
With or without you (WOWY)
most 5v5 ice together| Linemate | Min | SAT% with | SAT% without |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Rielly | 470 | 45.2% | 41.9%(811) |
| John Tavares | 253 | 47.9% | 42.0%(1275) |
| Jake McCabe | 243 | 42.2% | 44.3%(1297) |
| Matthew Knies | 233 | 39.6% | 45.3%(1290) |
| Matias Maccelli | 227 | 46.0% | 42.9%(1344) |
Shot share at 5v5 with each linemate, and away from him. The number in brackets is how many attempts the apart figure rests on. Top duos are rarely split up, so that half is often the thin one. Read it as a hint, not a verdict.